Ahead of the February 16 Presidential elections, there appears to be a crack in the ruling All Progressive Congress, APC, campaign organisation, as many polls are now predicting a close race between the two main contenders.
Williams and Associates, the United States-based Polling Firm, hired by the Goodluck Jonathan administration, ahead of the 2015 Presidential election, but predicted victory for Muhammadu Buhari, of the APC, has predicted victory for Atiku Abubakar, the Presidential Candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, in the forthcoming 2019 Presidential poll.
The company in its analysis of the Nigerian 2019 Presidential election, said that Atiku will win with less than majority of the votes cast, with 45 percent.
Buhari, according to the poll, will take 33 percent of the votes. The polling sample, revealed Kingsley Moghalu, the Candidate of the Young Peoples Party, YPP, with 9 percent of the votes, and Omoyele Sowore of the African Action Congress, AAC, with 8 percent of the votes.
The same company, when it was hired by the Jonathan administration, had predicted victory for Buhari, with 54 percent to 46 percent for Jonathan. Buhari eventually beat Jonathan by 54 to 45 percent of the total votes cast, in the 2015 Presidential election.
In its analysis working with data collected across Nigeria, by Operatives of Williams and Associates, through interviews, face to face interviews, and using mult-stage stratification proportionate to the population sample responders, were interviewed on their preferences in English and Local dialects, as appropriate.
The poll also reported that the South-East with 76 percent, has the greatest proportion of Nigerians, who believe that things are going in the wrong direction. Only 12 percent of those in the region, believe that things are going in the right direction.
The South-East was followed by the South-South, with 70 percent, the North-East, with 65 percent, North-West with 57 percent, South-West with 48 percent.
Remarkably, the troubled North-Central with 46 percent, had the least proportion of those who believe that things are going in the wrong direction.
Two weeks to the election, 64 percent of the sample responded that President Buhari had not done enough to deserve re-election, that was compared to 52 percent, which in the same time in 2015, believed that Jonathan had not done enough to deserve re-election.
Responding however, Festus Keyamo, the Spokesman of the Buhari Campaign Organisation, said: “This is one of several predictions that various polls have projected. I am sure also, that you have said President Buhari will win with a wide margin. We know that even before the primaries.
“It is an insult to give President Buhari 33 percent of the votes, it does not reflect the reality on the ground.”